Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
93.17 – 85.87
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
18 – 168
Prediction missed · off by 78.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 42Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355 ±10.5
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 22.29Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX 38Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10590, 9148, 6101
50
/ 100 compatProjected
93.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10590, 9148, 6101
Auto
30.2 32%
Teleop
52.7 57%
Endgame
10.2 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5090, 3604, 5567
53
/ 100 compatProjected
85.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5090, 3604, 5567
Auto
21.1 25%
Teleop
45.7 53%
Endgame
19.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93.2pts
Blue projected score85.9pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.3
- Score range
- 58–121
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
149.3Season APEX355
14.9Auto13.4
27.1Teleop32.9
0Endgame14
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 21 |
| teleop | 3 | 117 |
| endgame | 8 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 18 | 168 |
Result
Final score
18 – 168
Prediction missed · off by 78.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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