FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.3 – 98.16

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.6 ±11.7

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 123.02Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 9.74Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 40.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.6 ±13.3

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 6.73Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 43.24Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 48.19Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1506, 453, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1506, 453, 2620

Auto

39.3 23%

Teleop

97.4 57%

Endgame

32.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4395, 815, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4395, 815, 308

Auto

25.3 27%

Teleop

47.0 49%

Endgame

23.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.3pts

Blue projected score98.2pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.1
Score range: 71–200
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 147.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.6Season APEX141.6

39.3Auto25.3

97.4Teleop47

32.7Endgame23.1

2Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	28
teleop	141	56
endgame	57	35
foul	0	0
total	254	119

Result

Final score

254 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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