FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.77 – 54.99

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±12.8

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 119.11Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX -1.62Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 23.28Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±12.8

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 63.13Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 2.24Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -10.38Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3322, 6057, 11455

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3322, 6057, 11455

Auto

30.4 22%

Teleop

64.5 47%

Endgame

43.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5567, 10590, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 10590, 7147

Auto

7.9 14%

Teleop

34.0 60%

Endgame

15.0 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.8pts

Blue projected score55pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.8
Score range: 28–168
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 147.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.9Season APEX223.8

30.4Auto7.9

64.5Teleop34

43.1Endgame15

0Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	7
teleop	58	32
endgame	29	11
foul	0	0
total	117	50

Result

Final score

117 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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