FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

183.58 – 343.5

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.9 ±11.2

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 101.27Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 19.87Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 62.44Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.6 ±12.4

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 47.23Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 51.95Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 244.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 548, 6532, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 6532, 2834

Auto

17.1 9%

Teleop

108.0 59%

Endgame

56.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 66, 8297, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 66, 8297, 5460

Auto

53.8 16%

Teleop

203.8 61%

Endgame

78.4 23%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score183.6pts

Blue projected score343.5pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -159.9
Score range: 158–370
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 146.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

453.9Season APEX501.6

17.1Auto53.8

108Teleop203.8

56.6Endgame78.4

53Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	90
teleop	111	124
endgame	36	28
foul	10	0
total	183	242

Result

Final score

183 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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