FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.58 – 144.69

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.8 ±11.6

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 42.25Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 52.76Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 45.57Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.5 ±11.7

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 19.7Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 109.3Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 15.69Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3632, 308, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 308, 2620

Auto

39.1 29%

Teleop

67.7 50%

Endgame

29.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5090, 5066, 8899

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5090, 5066, 8899

Auto

34.8 24%

Teleop

77.7 54%

Endgame

31.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.6pts

Blue projected score144.7pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.1
Score range: 114–172
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 147.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.8Season APEX340.5

39.1Auto34.8

67.7Teleop77.7

29.4Endgame31.1

84Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	34
teleop	43	60
endgame	19	30
foul	0	20
total	79	144

Result

Final score

79 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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