FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.76 – 14.97

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384 ±11.7

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 8.27Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 2.85Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 172.64Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.4 ±13.9

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX -4.98Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 8.4Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 11.55Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1, 3568, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1, 3568, 67

Auto

57.5 33%

Teleop

89.2 51%

Endgame

29.9 17%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4994, 453, 6101

/ 100 compat

Projected

15 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4994, 453, 6101

Auto

11.2 62%

Teleop

-4.5 0%

Endgame

11.4 63%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score183.8pts

Blue projected score15pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.8
Score range: -12–211
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384Season APEX169.4

57.5Auto11.2

89.2Teleop-4.5

29.9Endgame11.4

93Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	10
teleop	124	5
endgame	51	2
foul	0	0
total	238	17

Result

Final score

238 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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