FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.36 – 48.74

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

62 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.5 ±13.3

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 22.96Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 31.33Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 26.07Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.3 ±13.9

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 43.8Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -12.29Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 17.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7660, 9727, 10656

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 9727, 10656

Auto

18.3 24%

Teleop

46.4 61%

Endgame

11.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 815, 7147, 9148

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 815, 7147, 9148

Auto

12.8 26%

Teleop

19.1 39%

Endgame

16.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.4pts

Blue projected score48.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.6
Score range: 22–107
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 103 vs event baseline 149.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.5Season APEX204.3

18.3Auto12.8

46.4Teleop19.1

11.3Endgame16.8

55Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	22
teleop	16	13
endgame	14	6
foul	15	0
total	62	41

Result

Final score

62 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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