FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.45 – 231.69

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

394 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 69.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484 ±11.7

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 233.75Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 10.08Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 42.62Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.9 ±11.2

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 71.01Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 45.73Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 114.95Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5460, 11455, 9226

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 11455, 9226

Auto

37.7 13%

Teleop

176.8 63%

Endgame

66.5 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1076, 66, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1076, 66, 3322

Auto

46.0 20%

Teleop

119.3 52%

Endgame

64.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score286.5pts

Blue projected score231.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.8
Score range: 206–312
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 657 vs event baseline 146.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484Season APEX388.9

37.7Auto46

176.8Teleop119.3

66.5Endgame64.7

1Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	47
teleop	214	129
endgame	85	77
foul	5	10
total	394	263

Result

Final score

394 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 69.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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