FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.39 – 270.93

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±11.6

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 32.68Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 60.41Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 6.3Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.9 ±9.9

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 123.98Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 99.05Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 47.9Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4838, 5567, 3773

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4838, 5567, 3773

Auto

18.5 19%

Teleop

52.4 55%

Endgame

24.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1506, 548, 7178

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1506, 548, 7178

Auto

26.9 10%

Teleop

173.0 65%

Endgame

67.9 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.4pts

Blue projected score270.9pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -171.5
Score range: 73–297
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 145.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.6Season APEX566.9

18.5Auto26.9

52.4Teleop173

24.9Endgame67.9

105Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	52
teleop	78	207
endgame	61	25
foul	5	0
total	172	284

Result

Final score

172 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 42.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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