FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.33 – 130.82

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.1 ±12.7

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 49.05Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 48.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 17.06Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.1 ±12.1

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 39.62Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 69.55Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 21.65Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 7178, 453

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 7178, 453

Auto

24.0 21%

Teleop

58.3 51%

Endgame

33.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4838, 7692, 7660

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4838, 7692, 7660

Auto

34.7 28%

Teleop

60.0 48%

Endgame

30.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.3pts

Blue projected score130.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.5
Score range: 86–159
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.1Season APEX201.1

24Auto34.7

58.3Teleop60

33.1Endgame30.4

87Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	33
teleop	51	67
endgame	38	11
foul	0	10
total	118	121

Result

Final score

118 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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