FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.5 – 143.55

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.2 ±13.9

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 46.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 9.22Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 3.02Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.9 ±11.7

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 96.14Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -3.47Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 50.88Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 815, 1, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 815, 1, 10590

Auto

20.4 38%

Teleop

21.1 39%

Endgame

12.3 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5066, 4395, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 4395, 7692

Auto

43.0 31%

Teleop

72.3 53%

Endgame

21.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.5pts

Blue projected score143.6pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.1
Score range: 33–170
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 144.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.2Season APEX357.9

20.4Auto43

21.1Teleop72.3

12.3Endgame21.8

62Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	56
teleop	15	142
endgame	13	59
foul	0	0
total	48	257

Result

Final score

48 – 257

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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