FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.91 – 34.81

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.6 ±12.7

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 56.43Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 29.31Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 16.17Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.2 ±12.8

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 46.69Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX -1.96Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -9.92Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8297, 9242, 5090

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8297, 9242, 5090

Auto

25.8 28%

Teleop

36.8 40%

Endgame

28.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3632, 4994, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 4994, 7147

Auto

15.3 40%

Teleop

20.2 52%

Endgame

3.1 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.9pts

Blue projected score34.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.1
Score range: 9–128
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 146.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.6Season APEX207.2

25.8Auto15.3

36.8Teleop20.2

28.6Endgame3.1

43Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	5
teleop	47	10
endgame	48	11
foul	15	0
total	128	26

Result

Final score

128 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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