FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.72 – 199.95

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 6.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.9 ±13.3

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 2.7Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 28.3Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 46.72Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±11.6

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 53.75Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 118.19Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 28.01Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3568, 10656, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3568, 10656, 66

Auto

28.1 36%

Teleop

31.0 40%

Endgame

17.9 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 308, 3322, 7660

/ 100 compat

Projected

200 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 3322, 7660

Auto

40.6 20%

Teleop

103.7 52%

Endgame

56.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.7pts

Blue projected score200pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -122.2
Score range: 52–226
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 146.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.9Season APEX237.1

28.1Auto40.6

31Teleop103.7

17.9Endgame56.6

78Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	41
teleop	34	109
endgame	16	38
foul	5	0
total	79	188

Result

Final score

79 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 6.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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