FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

351.94 – 106.9

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 612.6 ±9.9

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 18.61Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 246.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 86.73Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±12.2

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 9.58Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 40.13Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 57.19Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3773, 5460, 1076

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3773, 5460, 1076

Auto

44.1 13%

Teleop

218.0 63%

Endgame

83.6 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 453, 9226, 5567

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 453, 9226, 5567

Auto

7.2 7%

Teleop

64.3 61%

Endgame

33.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score351.9pts

Blue projected score106.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 245
Score range: 81–378
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 146.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

612.6Season APEX230.3

44.1Auto7.2

218Teleop64.3

83.6Endgame33.7

38Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	24
teleop	106	54
endgame	82	49
foul	0	0
total	231	127

Result

Final score

231 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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