FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.83 – 233.13

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154 ±13.9

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 4.55Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 39.42Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 30.86Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.1 ±11.7

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX -3.54Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 183.3Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 53.37Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10590, 9727, 6532

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10590, 9727, 6532

Auto

16.1 22%

Teleop

34.7 48%

Endgame

22.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6057, 67, 7178

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6057, 67, 7178

Auto

59.1 26%

Teleop

130.8 58%

Endgame

36.0 16%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.8pts

Blue projected score233.1pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -158.3
Score range: 49–259
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 146.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154Season APEX386.1

16.1Auto59.1

34.7Teleop130.8

22Endgame36

35Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	27
teleop	27	67
endgame	10	62
foul	0	0
total	45	156

Result

Final score

45 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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