FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.95 – 61.39

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

99 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.6 ±12.2

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 12.26Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 38.07Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 59.62Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.4 ±13.3

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -4.77Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 53.36Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 12.8Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11455, 4838, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11455, 4838, 2834

Auto

20.1 20%

Teleop

53.2 53%

Endgame

27.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4395, 2620, 6101

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4395, 2620, 6101

Auto

41.9 69%

Teleop

3.4 6%

Endgame

15.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110pts

Blue projected score61.4pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.6
Score range: 34–137
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 148.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.6Season APEX156.4

20.1Auto41.9

53.2Teleop3.4

27.3Endgame15.8

81Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	18
teleop	54	24
endgame	17	12
foul	0	0
total	99	54

Result

Final score

99 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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