FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.93 – 206.72

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

204 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±11.7

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 13.79Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 47.88Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 96.26Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.1 ±10.7

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 85.96Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 1.89Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 118.87Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9148, 7692, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9148, 7692, 548

Auto

22.6 15%

Teleop

103.9 69%

Endgame

24.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3604, 8899, 1506

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3604, 8899, 1506

Auto

20.1 10%

Teleop

135.0 66%

Endgame

49.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.9pts

Blue projected score206.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.8
Score range: 132–233
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 482 vs event baseline 146.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.8Season APEX544.1

22.6Auto20.1

103.9Teleop135

24Endgame49.8

65Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	52
teleop	85	175
endgame	85	46
foul	0	5
total	204	278

Result

Final score

204 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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