FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.97 – 112.46

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.2 ±13.3

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -13.82Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 51.8Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 50.99Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175 ±12.2

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 45.98Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 60.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 6.34Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7147, 8297, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

89 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 8297, 308

Auto

21.2 25%

Teleop

48.6 58%

Endgame

13.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 5567, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 5567, 1

Auto

18.7 17%

Teleop

52.6 47%

Endgame

39.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89pts

Blue projected score112.5pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.5
Score range: 63–138
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.2Season APEX175

21.2Auto18.7

48.6Teleop52.6

13.5Endgame39.9

75Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	31
teleop	65	66
endgame	34	32
foul	0	10
total	123	139

Result

Final score

123 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 30.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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