FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

403.81 – 60.81

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

630 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 131.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.1 ±9.9

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 156Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 220.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 27.57Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170 ±13.3

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 34.84Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 30.59Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -4.62Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 5460, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 5460, 2620

Auto

74.5 19%

Teleop

239.3 62%

Endgame

71.3 19%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9727, 4838, 4395

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9727, 4838, 4395

Auto

23.4 39%

Teleop

24.9 41%

Endgame

12.4 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score403.8pts

Blue projected score60.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 343
Score range: 35–430
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 728 vs event baseline 143.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

695.1Season APEX170

74.5Auto23.4

239.3Teleop24.9

71.3Endgame12.4

76Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	143	32
teleop	366	36
endgame	121	25
foul	0	5
total	630	98

Result

Final score

630 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 131.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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