FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.65 – 94.99

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.8 ±13.3

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 18.29Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 21.92Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 21.44Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±13.3

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 38.25Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 4.85Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 51.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1, 6532, 9242

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1, 6532, 9242

Auto

22.5 39%

Teleop

8.6 15%

Endgame

26.7 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 815, 6057, 2620

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 815, 6057, 2620

Auto

24.9 26%

Teleop

41.0 43%

Endgame

29.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.7pts

Blue projected score95pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.3
Score range: 34–123
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.8Season APEX149.1

22.5Auto24.9

8.6Teleop41

26.7Endgame29.2

95Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	33
teleop	27	55
endgame	18	29
foul	5	0
total	70	117

Result

Final score

70 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 15.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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