FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.51 – 134.35

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.5 ±12.2

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 26.25Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX -1.49Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 39.75Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335 ±12.4

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 4.28Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 88.12Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 41.95Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7660, 6057, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 6057, 3632

Auto

24.8 37%

Teleop

28.5 43%

Endgame

13.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11455, 548, 815

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11455, 548, 815

Auto

21.2 18%

Teleop

78.2 65%

Endgame

21.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.5pts

Blue projected score134.4pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.8
Score range: 39–160
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 142.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.5Season APEX335

24.8Auto21.2

28.5Teleop78.2

13.3Endgame21.5

31Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	22
teleop	51	149
endgame	29	55
foul	0	0
total	93	226

Result

Final score

93 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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