FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.43 – 77.43

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.4 ±11.7

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 28.55Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 214.19Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 17.69Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.9 ±12.8

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 19.78Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 55.61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 2.04Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9727, 5460, 5090

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9727, 5460, 5090

Auto

25.6 10%

Teleop

168.9 64%

Endgame

68.2 26%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10656, 2834, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10656, 2834, 10590

Auto

8.6 12%

Teleop

41.4 56%

Endgame

24.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.4pts

Blue projected score77.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183
Score range: 52–285
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 434 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.4Season APEX244.9

25.6Auto8.6

168.9Teleop41.4

68.2Endgame24

34Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	23
teleop	141	53
endgame	88	38
foul	20	5
total	315	119

Result

Final score

315 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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