FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.85 – 3.29

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

105 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 68.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.1 ±12.2

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 64.11Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 62.99Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 37.75Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±13.3

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -15.14Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -19.54Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 37.97Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5567, 7692, 6532

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5567, 7692, 6532

Auto

22.7 14%

Teleop

92.1 58%

Endgame

44.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4395, 7147, 9226

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4395, 7147, 9226

Auto

12.1 100%

Teleop

-3.4 0%

Endgame

-1.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.9pts

Blue projected score3.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.6
Score range: -22–190
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 141.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.1Season APEX228.4

22.7Auto12.1

92.1Teleop-3.4

44Endgame-1.4

147Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	25
teleop	36	33
endgame	18	22
foul	25	0
total	105	80

Result

Final score

105 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 68.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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