FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

238.76 – 124.97

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 560.5 ±9.9

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 151.47Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 6.96Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 80.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.5 ±13.3

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 12.82Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 49.65Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 62.5Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 3773, 3604

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 3773, 3604

Auto

52.3 23%

Teleop

122.8 54%

Endgame

51.0 23%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1, 308, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

125 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1, 308, 66

Auto

45.1 36%

Teleop

52.1 41%

Endgame

28.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score238.8pts

Blue projected score125pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.8
Score range: 100–264
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 428 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

560.5Season APEX128.5

52.3Auto45.1

122.8Teleop52.1

51Endgame28.5

24Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	25
teleop	243	45
endgame	29	33
foul	5	0
total	325	103

Result

Final score

325 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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