FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.55 – 82.9

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±13.3

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 13.94Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 19.38Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 5.23Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.3 ±12.7

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 49.1Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 23.92Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 9.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11455, 5090, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11455, 5090, 10590

Auto

23.3 81%

Teleop

13.0 45%

Endgame

-7.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 9242, 9148

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 9242, 9148

Auto

21.8 27%

Teleop

27.8 34%

Endgame

31.6 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score82.9pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.4
Score range: 14–108
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.3Season APEX194.3

23.3Auto21.8

13Teleop27.8

-7.4Endgame31.6

41Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	27
teleop	18	67
endgame	5	26
foul	0	0
total	37	120

Result

Final score

37 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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