FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

78.55 – 67.2

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.9 ±12.2

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 1.67Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 52.76Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.2 ±12.7

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 26.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 41.42Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX -0.51Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8899, 7660, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8899, 7660, 2834

Auto

22.5 30%

Teleop

29.8 39%

Endgame

23.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4838, 815, 3568

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4838, 815, 3568

Auto

16.0 26%

Teleop

26.6 44%

Endgame

18.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.6pts

Blue projected score67.2pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.3
Score range: 42–104
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 141.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.9Season APEX188.2

22.5Auto16

29.8Teleop26.6

23.8Endgame18.3

45Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	33
teleop	82	21
endgame	50	26
foul	0	0
total	147	80

Result

Final score

147 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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