FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.77 – 89.81

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 512.1 ±9.3

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 77.84Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 59.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 112.92Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145 ±13.3

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 50.78Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 0.69Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 38.34Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1076, 5567, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1076, 5567, 5066

Auto

33.6 14%

Teleop

157.8 64%

Endgame

56.3 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 308, 9148, 6532

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 9148, 6532

Auto

23.3 26%

Teleop

47.5 52%

Endgame

20.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.8pts

Blue projected score89.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160
Score range: 65–275
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 138.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

512.1Season APEX145

33.6Auto23.3

157.8Teleop47.5

56.3Endgame20.1

176Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	22
teleop	167	55
endgame	48	44
foul	0	0
total	251	121

Result

Final score

251 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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