Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
160.41 – 132.01
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
181 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 136.9Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 7.63Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 15.88Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 82.24Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 24.98Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 24.79Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1506, 11455, 10656
64
/ 100 compatProjected
160.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1506, 11455, 10656
Auto
27.5 18%
Teleop
101.4 65%
Endgame
28.2 18%
Strengths
- · 1506 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 548, 6101, 5090
58
/ 100 compatProjected
132 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 548, 6101, 5090
Auto
18.1 14%
Teleop
82.1 63%
Endgame
30.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score160.4pts
Blue projected score132pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 28.4
- Score range
- 107–185
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
339.3Season APEX345.1
27.5Auto18.1
101.4Teleop82.1
28.2Endgame30.1
60Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 21 |
| teleop | 104 | 32 |
| endgame | 15 | 43 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 181 | 101 |
Result
Final score
181 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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