FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.48 – 67.44

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.5 ±13.3

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 4.63Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.37Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 11.48Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±12.2

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 30.96Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 30.99Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 5.49Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 453, 7660, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 453, 7660, 1

Auto

36.0 94%

Teleop

3.0 8%

Endgame

-0.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3632, 9242, 10590

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 9242, 10590

Auto

18.7 31%

Teleop

14.6 24%

Endgame

28.0 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.5pts

Blue projected score67.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28
Score range: 14–92
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

150.5Season APEX177

36Auto18.7

3Teleop14.6

-0.6Endgame28

80Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	18
teleop	5	33
endgame	35	7
foul	0	0
total	56	58

Result

Final score

56 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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