Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
65.82 – 209.28
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
25 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 23 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 33.12Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 9.71Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 22.99Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 0.57Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -8.97Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 217.68Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9727, 8899, 6057
41
/ 100 compatProjected
65.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9727, 8899, 6057
Auto
20.8 30%
Teleop
33.4 48%
Endgame
16.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3568, 4395, 5460
77
/ 100 compatProjected
209.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3568, 4395, 5460
Auto
22.8 11%
Teleop
128.3 61%
Endgame
59.0 28%
Strengths
- · 5460 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65.8pts
Blue projected score209.3pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -143.5
- Score range
- 40–235
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.5Season APEX473.9
20.8Auto22.8
33.4Teleop128.3
16Endgame59
47Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 30 |
| teleop | 3 | 137 |
| endgame | 5 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 25 | 204 |
Result
Final score
25 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 23 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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