FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.53 – 133.64

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.8 ±12.7

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 40.86Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 38.4Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 11.27Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.2 ±11.7

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 114.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 28.52Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -9.05Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2620, 9226, 4994

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2620, 9226, 4994

Auto

21.2 24%

Teleop

39.2 44%

Endgame

28.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5066, 4838, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 4838, 7147

Auto

34.0 26%

Teleop

64.7 49%

Endgame

33.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score133.6pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.1
Score range: 66–159
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 140.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.8Season APEX394.2

21.2Auto34

39.2Teleop64.7

28Endgame33.5

122Consistency156

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	15
teleop	53	84
endgame	7	0
foul	0	0
total	89	99

Result

Final score

89 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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