Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
165.45 – 104.28
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
176 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 68.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 32.37Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 64.15Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 25.83Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80Event APEX 63.39Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 15.06Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3604, 3632, 7692
75
/ 100 compatProjected
165.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3604, 3632, 7692
Auto
37.8 23%
Teleop
87.0 53%
Endgame
39.5 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6101, 5567, 11455
44
/ 100 compatProjected
104.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6101, 5567, 11455
Auto
13.7 14%
Teleop
73.0 77%
Endgame
8.6 9%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score165.5pts
Blue projected score104.3pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 61.2
- Score range
- 79–190
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
365.6Season APEX178.6
37.8Auto13.7
87Teleop73
39.5Endgame8.6
119Consistency68
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 23 |
| teleop | 91 | 29 |
| endgame | 45 | 35 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 176 | 87 |
Result
Final score
176 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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