Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
163.53 – 88.14
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
152 – 40
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 28.99Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 0.29Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 134.25Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 47.38Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 28.49Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 12.27Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5090, 9148, 1506
68
/ 100 compatProjected
163.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5090, 9148, 1506
Auto
30.9 19%
Teleop
89.2 54%
Endgame
45.5 27%
Strengths
- · 1506 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8297, 6057, 3568
50
/ 100 compatProjected
88.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8297, 6057, 3568
Auto
22.5 27%
Teleop
39.8 48%
Endgame
20.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.5pts
Blue projected score88.1pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 75.4
- Score range
- 62–190
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
363.5Season APEX206.2
30.9Auto22.5
89.2Teleop39.8
45.5Endgame20.1
36Consistency67
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 13 |
| teleop | 106 | 21 |
| endgame | 22 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 152 | 40 |
Result
Final score
152 – 40
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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