Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
27.45 – 334.1
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
132 – 258
Prediction correct · off by 90.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.1 ±12.4
Season APEX 28.8Event APEX -4.13Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201Event APEX 62.11Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -30.53Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.8 ±11.1
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 228.33Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 63.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 42.2Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1, 1076, 4395
16
/ 100 compatProjected
27.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 1, 1076, 4395
Auto
46.6 100%
Teleop
9.5 30%
Endgame
-24.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5460, 7178, 7660
78
/ 100 compatProjected
334.1 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5460, 7178, 7660
Auto
32.7 10%
Teleop
179.1 55%
Endgame
115.4 35%
Strengths
- · 5460 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score27.4pts
Blue projected score334.1pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -306.7
- Score range
- 2–359
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
273.1Season APEX477.8
46.6Auto32.7
9.5Teleop179.1
-24Endgame115.4
171Consistency102
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 34 |
| teleop | 55 | 191 |
| endgame | 48 | 33 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 132 | 258 |
Result
Final score
132 – 258
Prediction correct · off by 90.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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