FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.46 – 88.5

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 40 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.5 ±12.4

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 9.86Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 176.15Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -6.55Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.6 ±13.9

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 27.5Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 21.31Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 39.69Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6101, 67, 7147

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6101, 67, 7147

Auto

47.2 27%

Teleop

92.3 53%

Endgame

35.2 20%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10656, 8899, 8297

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10656, 8899, 8297

Auto

22.7 29%

Teleop

43.3 55%

Endgame

12.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.5pts

Blue projected score88.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91
Score range: 61–207
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.5Season APEX185.6

47.2Auto22.7

92.3Teleop43.3

35.2Endgame12.3

26Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	8
teleop	95	18
endgame	0	10
foul	0	5
total	147	41

Result

Final score

147 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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