FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.04 – 140.13

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 439.1 ±11.2

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 86.15Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 138.3Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 11.59Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.2 ±12.1

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 39.5Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 58.09Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 42.54Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 548, 3322, 9727

/ 100 compat

Projected

236 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 3322, 9727

Auto

30.6 13%

Teleop

164.2 69%

Endgame

44.4 19%

Strengths

· 3322 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4838, 308, 9242

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4838, 308, 9242

Auto

31.8 24%

Teleop

60.2 45%

Endgame

42.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236pts

Blue projected score140.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.9
Score range: 115–261
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 140.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439.1Season APEX185.2

30.6Auto31.8

164.2Teleop60.2

44.4Endgame42.4

17Consistency186

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	26
teleop	165	34
endgame	104	41
foul	0	5
total	303	106

Result

Final score

303 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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