FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.69 – 122.75

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.3 ±13.3

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.73Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -18.38Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 49.34Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±11.1

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 35.16Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 22.55Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 65.04Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7660, 4395, 8297

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 4395, 8297

Auto

32.4 66%

Teleop

19.5 40%

Endgame

-2.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2620, 3568, 3604

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2620, 3568, 3604

Auto

29.7 25%

Teleop

48.3 40%

Endgame

42.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.7pts

Blue projected score122.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.1
Score range: 30–149
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 142.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.3Season APEX357.1

32.4Auto29.7

19.5Teleop48.3

-2.6Endgame42.7

48Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	27
teleop	27	43
endgame	16	44
foul	0	0
total	75	114

Result

Final score

75 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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