FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.22 – 86.08

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.9 ±12.4

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX 10.68Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 139.55Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX -0.01Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.4 ±11.2

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 34.72Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 53.65Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX -2.29Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7147, 1506, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 1506, 1

Auto

30.2 19%

Teleop

85.6 54%

Endgame

43.5 27%

Strengths

· 1506 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2834, 1076, 9148

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2834, 1076, 9148

Auto

28.8 32%

Teleop

26.7 29%

Endgame

35.5 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.2pts

Blue projected score86.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.1
Score range: 60–176
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 143.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

390.9Season APEX420.4

30.2Auto28.8

85.6Teleop26.7

43.5Endgame35.5

86Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	16
teleop	60	79
endgame	11	31
foul	0	0
total	116	126

Result

Final score

116 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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