FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.82 – 148.58

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.9 ±12.4

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 48.68Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 232.58Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX -1.44Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±11.6

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 74.95Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 29.47Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 44.16Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 815, 5460, 453

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 815, 5460, 453

Auto

28.2 10%

Teleop

174.7 62%

Endgame

77.4 28%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9226, 3632, 5090

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9226, 3632, 5090

Auto

18.7 13%

Teleop

83.6 59%

Endgame

39.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.8pts

Blue projected score148.6pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131.2
Score range: 123–306
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 142.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473.9Season APEX192.6

28.2Auto18.7

174.7Teleop83.6

77.4Endgame39.1

149Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	21
teleop	146	29
endgame	72	29
foul	10	5
total	250	84

Result

Final score

250 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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