FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.79 – 158.63

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.4 ±13.3

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 50.02Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 31.42Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -17.65Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.3 ±12.4

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 22.2Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 110.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 25.82Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7178, 6101, 10656

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 6101, 10656

Auto

10.2 16%

Teleop

32.0 50%

Endgame

22.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6057, 5066, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6057, 5066, 66

Auto

24.2 15%

Teleop

107.9 69%

Endgame

24.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.8pts

Blue projected score158.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.8
Score range: 38–185
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 312 vs event baseline 141.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.4Season APEX323.3

10.2Auto24.2

32Teleop107.9

22.3Endgame24.4

129Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	52
teleop	53	116
endgame	37	37
foul	0	0
total	107	205

Result

Final score

107 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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