FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.31 – 55.47

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.8 ±12.2

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -2.92Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 38.97Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 135.26Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.8 ±13.3

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 27.2Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 23.69Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 4.58Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10590, 4838, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10590, 4838, 3322

Auto

29.0 17%

Teleop

101.4 60%

Endgame

37.4 22%

Strengths

· 3322 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8899, 6532, 3773

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8899, 6532, 3773

Auto

0.9 2%

Teleop

10.5 21%

Endgame

39.5 78%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171.3pts

Blue projected score55.5pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.8
Score range: 29–197
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 143.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.8Season APEX160.8

29Auto0.9

101.4Teleop10.5

37.4Endgame39.5

117Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	9
teleop	97	30
endgame	34	12
foul	0	0
total	156	51

Result

Final score

156 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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