FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.21 – 196.17

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151 ±13.3

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX -8.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 27.57Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 34.52Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 604.4 ±9.9

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 52Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 87.34Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 56.83Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9148, 7660, 11455

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9148, 7660, 11455

Auto

33.7 81%

Teleop

10.5 25%

Endgame

-2.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9226, 67, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9226, 67, 548

Auto

46.8 25%

Teleop

131.0 70%

Endgame

8.3 4%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.2pts

Blue projected score196.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -143
Score range: 27–222
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 142.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151Season APEX604.4

33.7Auto46.8

10.5Teleop131

-2.6Endgame8.3

0Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	28
teleop	12	192
endgame	2	71
foul	5	15
total	43	306

Result

Final score

43 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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