FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.9 – 124.69

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.4 ±10.5

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 35.13Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 106.55Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.22Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.2 ±11

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 53.68Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 5.45Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 65.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3632, 5066, 3773

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 5066, 3773

Auto

37.0 24%

Teleop

85.0 54%

Endgame

35.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2834, 3568, 5567

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2834, 3568, 5567

Auto

24.2 20%

Teleop

52.8 44%

Endgame

43.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.9pts

Blue projected score124.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.2
Score range: 97–194
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 155.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.4Season APEX322.2

37Auto24.2

85Teleop52.8

35.2Endgame43

46Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	16
teleop	85	68
endgame	49	49
foul	5	0
total	176	133

Result

Final score

176 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.