FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

123.2 – 256.8

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.4 ±12.8

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 38.03Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 46.46Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 38.71Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 681.4 ±10.7

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX 8.98Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 31.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 216.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 66, 815, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 66, 815, 3632

Auto

20.8 18%

Teleop

66.0 56%

Endgame

30.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7147, 3604, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 3604, 5460

Auto

29.8 11%

Teleop

180.7 69%

Endgame

50.3 19%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score123.2pts

Blue projected score256.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.6
Score range: 98–282
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 434 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.4Season APEX681.4

20.8Auto29.8

66Teleop180.7

30.9Endgame50.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	25
teleop	74	183
endgame	9	114
foul	0	0
total	112	322

Result

Final score

112 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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