FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.84 – 95.38

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.5 ±13.3

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 2.33Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 4.79Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 32.72Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±11.7

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 18.08Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 48.11Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 29.19Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3773, 10590, 6057

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3773, 10590, 6057

Auto

7.6 19%

Teleop

17.9 45%

Endgame

14.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8899, 1076, 4838

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8899, 1076, 4838

Auto

22.8 25%

Teleop

33.6 37%

Endgame

33.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.8pts

Blue projected score95.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.5
Score range: 14–121
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 142.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.5Season APEX321.8

7.6Auto22.8

17.9Teleop33.6

14.6Endgame33.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	28
teleop	7	68
endgame	8	27
foul	0	0
total	19	123

Result

Final score

19 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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