FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

137.43 – 57.96

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 237

Prediction missed · off by 99.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.9 ±11.6

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 44.09Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 39.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 54.23Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417 ±12.4

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 20.17Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX -10.34Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 48.13Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7692, 2834, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7692, 2834, 308

Auto

21.6 16%

Teleop

77.1 58%

Endgame

34.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8297, 11455, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8297, 11455, 67

Auto

45.0 75%

Teleop

27.3 45%

Endgame

-12.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.4pts

Blue projected score58pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.5
Score range: 32–163
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 144.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.9Season APEX417

21.6Auto45

77.1Teleop27.3

34.6Endgame-12.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	56
teleop	77	146
endgame	39	5
foul	0	30
total	158	237

Result

Final score

158 – 237

Prediction missed · off by 99.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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