FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.27 – 137.43

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.6 ±12.2

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 23.7Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 32.53Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 165.04Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.7 ±11.7

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 43.39Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 71.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 23Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3568, 453, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3568, 453, 3322

Auto

43.8 20%

Teleop

127.2 57%

Endgame

50.6 23%

Strengths

· 3322 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2620, 548, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2620, 548, 1

Auto

22.4 17%

Teleop

96.6 73%

Endgame

13.5 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.3pts

Blue projected score137.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.8
Score range: 111–247
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 146.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.6Season APEX326.7

43.8Auto22.4

127.2Teleop96.6

50.6Endgame13.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	47
teleop	67	37
endgame	43	11
foul	5	0
total	150	95

Result

Final score

150 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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