FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.47 – 189.74

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±12.7

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 34.57Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 17.01Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 21.89Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±12.4

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX 26.64Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX -19.59Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 182.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7692, 7178, 4994

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7692, 7178, 4994

Auto

21.9 31%

Teleop

35.2 50%

Endgame

13.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6057, 9148, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6057, 9148, 5460

Auto

10.1 5%

Teleop

127.6 67%

Endgame

53.7 28%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.5pts

Blue projected score189.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.3
Score range: 48–215
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 138.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.1Season APEX447

21.9Auto10.1

35.2Teleop127.6

13.7Endgame53.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	42
teleop	72	149
endgame	42	61
foul	5	0
total	147	252

Result

Final score

147 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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