Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
95.01 – 102.89
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
167 – 22
Prediction missed · off by 76.4 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 33.71Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 2.99Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 58.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 12.56Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 58.31Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 32.02Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 453, 8297, 5066
55
/ 100 compatProjected
95 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 453, 8297, 5066
Auto
16.5 18%
Teleop
50.4 54%
Endgame
26.4 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11455, 3773, 9727
56
/ 100 compatProjected
102.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11455, 3773, 9727
Auto
18.9 19%
Teleop
60.3 60%
Endgame
22.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95pts
Blue projected score102.9pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -7.9
- Score range
- 69–129
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
389.8Season APEX163.9
16.5Auto18.9
50.4Teleop60.3
26.4Endgame22.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 11 |
| teleop | 96 | 6 |
| endgame | 34 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 167 | 22 |
Result
Final score
167 – 22
Prediction missed · off by 76.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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