FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.15 – 436.58

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 595

Prediction correct · off by 82.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±12.4

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX -5.93Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 69.89Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 21.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 752.1 ±9.3

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 222.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 101.44Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 112.9Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4994, 3604, 11455

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4994, 3604, 11455

Auto

24.4 29%

Teleop

53.0 64%

Endgame

5.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5460, 3322, 1506

/ 100 compat

Projected

436.6 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 3322, 1506

Auto

75.4 17%

Teleop

253.8 58%

Endgame

104.7 24%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.2pts

Blue projected score436.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -351.4
Score range: 57–465
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 155.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.5Season APEX752.1

24.4Auto75.4

53Teleop253.8

5.9Endgame104.7

7Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	46
teleop	47	402
endgame	0	147
foul	0	0
total	78	595

Result

Final score

78 – 595

Prediction correct · off by 82.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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